Based on current trends, here's what we expect to see in the next 6-12 months:

Very Likely

• Continued FDA enforcement against illegal disposable vapes, especially those with youth appeal
• More state-level flavor ban proposals — expect 2-4 more states to introduce legislation in 2027
• More PMTA authorizations — a few more products may get the green light
• Online sales crackdown — tighter enforcement of the PACT Act for online vape retailers

Possible but Uncertain

• A federal flavor ban (unlikely to pass Congress but frequently proposed)
• Disposable vape-specific restrictions (more likely than a total ban)
• Nicotine cap legislation (limiting nicotine strength)
• Tax increases on vape products

Very Unlikely

• A complete federal ban on all vape products — politically unlikely given the harm-reduction argument for adult smokers
• Criminal penalties for adult personal use — no state has gone this far
• Recall of all existing vape products — logistically impossible